San Francisco Chronicle Recycles News from the ‘70s

Tue   15 Apr 2008   10:48 by Kevin McGehee 50° and sunny in Coweta County, GA 6 comments [Media Ochre] [Nature]

That’s the only possible explanation for this: A strong and deadly earthquake is virtually certain to strike on one of California’s major seismic faults within the next 30 years, scientists said Monday in the first official forecast of statewide earthquake probabilities. They calculated the probability at more than 99 percent that one or more of the major faults in the state will rupture and trigger a quake with a magnitude of at least 6.7. An even more damaging quake with a magnitude of 7.5 or larger, the earthquake scientists said, is at least 46 percent likely to hit on one of California’s active fault systems within the next three decades. It probably would strike in the southern part of the state, the scientists warned. » Huge state quake predicted within 30 years They’ve been saying “the big one” would hit California within the next 30 years, for 40 years. And then when everyone thought the Loma Prieta quake in 1989 was “the big one,“ they said, No, that wasn’t it. Probably because California didn’t break off and fall into the ocean. If that doesn’t happen, even a magnitude 12 quake can’t be “the big one.“

 

Ron Simpson said: if Cali fell off the continent would it be that bad? » Tue   15 Apr 2008   15:36 Kevin McGehee said: Other than that my brother is still out there, not so much. He has talked occasionally about leaving, but not seriously. And “Cali” is a city in Colombia, please. If you must abbreviate the name of The Fugue State, call it “Calif” or “Cal.“ » Tue   15 Apr 2008   15:45 localmalcontent said: Can’t help but wonder if the S.F. Chronicle is (again) reporting this, to make the people feel braver than they are, or remind they are victims, only not as much as they will be? » Tue   15 Apr 2008   17:22 Kevin McGehee said: To the extent there’s a meme involved, it may be that the explanations for why Gullible Warming ain’t so warm, have about run out of traction—so they need to scare people in other ways. And yes, I do seem to recollect there being claims that Gullible Warming contributes to earthquakes. Which is part of why I included this post under my weather category. » Tue   15 Apr 2008   17:32 kc (prairiecat) said: We were stationed in SoCal for 4 years - the teenage girls called it Cali…& the more I hear about it, the happier I am I don’t have to be there anymore. » Wed   16 Apr 2008   17:10 Kevin McGehee said: SoCal ... the teenage girls called it Cali I see two things wrong with that citation. » Thu   17 Apr 2008   9:44 You must be registered and logged in to comment.